Model your Medicare Part B and Part D income surcharges year by year. See exactly how Roth conversions, RMDs, and other income push you into higher IRMAA tiers — and find the income thresholds that minimize your total cost of taxes plus Medicare premiums.
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MAGI (from 2 years ago)
$150,000Estimated. Brackets adjust annually. Build your full plan →
IRMAA stands for Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount. It is a surcharge that the Social Security Administration adds to your Medicare Part B (medical insurance) and Part D (prescription drug) premiums when your income exceeds certain thresholds.
The standard Medicare Part B premium in 2024 is $174.70 per month. But if your modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) from two years ago exceeded $103,000 (single) or $206,000 (married), you pay more. The surcharge increases in tiers — at the highest tier, a married couple pays over $5,000 per year in extra Medicare premiums on top of the base cost.
IRMAA is not a one-time charge. It applies every year that your income (as measured two years prior) exceeds the thresholds. For a 30-year retirement, the cumulative IRMAA cost can reach $50,000 to $100,000 or more, making it one of the largest "hidden" taxes in retirement. Most people do not discover it until they receive the letter from Social Security telling them their premium has increased.
IRMAA is not based on your current income — it is based on your income from two years prior. Medicare looks at your most recent tax return on file with the IRS (which is typically the return from two years ago) to determine your premium tier.
This two-year delay has important implications:
ThunderHarbor models the two-year lookback explicitly. When calculating your year-by-year projection, the optimizer checks the MAGI from two years prior for each Medicare-eligible year and applies the correct IRMAA tier. This means Roth conversion recommendations account for the premium impact two years later.
IRMAA surcharges are structured in tiers. Each tier has a MAGI threshold, and crossing a threshold by even one dollar moves you into the next tier with the full surcharge. There is no gradual phase-in. The brackets for 2024 (based on 2022 MAGI) for single filers:
Part B surcharge of $69.90/month ($838/year). Part D surcharge of $12.90/month ($155/year). Total additional cost: approximately $993/year. This is the first tier — crossing $103,000 in MAGI triggers it.
Part B surcharge of $174.70/month ($2,096/year). Part D surcharge of $33.30/month ($400/year). Total additional cost: approximately $2,496/year. Crossing this threshold doubles your surcharge from Tier 1.
Part B surcharge of $279.50/month ($3,354/year). Part D surcharge of $53.80/month ($646/year). Total additional cost: approximately $4,000/year. At this tier, the surcharge exceeds the base Medicare premium itself.
Part B surcharge of $384.30/month ($4,612/year). Part D surcharge of $74.20/month ($890/year). Total additional cost: approximately $5,502/year. For married couples, the thresholds are doubled ($386,000 to $750,000 at this tier).
Part B surcharge of $419.30/month ($5,032/year). Part D surcharge of $81.00/month ($972/year). Total additional cost: approximately $6,004/year. This is the maximum surcharge tier. A married couple at this tier pays over $12,000 per year in surcharges alone.
Note: thresholds are indexed for inflation and change each year. The Social Security Administration announces new thresholds annually. ThunderHarbor uses the current year thresholds and projects future adjustments based on inflation estimates.
The key insight is that IRMAA is based on MAGI, not total wealth. You can have millions in retirement accounts and pay no IRMAA if you keep your annual MAGI below the thresholds. Here are the main strategies:
When the Roth conversion optimizer is active, ThunderHarbor treats IRMAA as a constraint alongside tax brackets and ACA subsidies. For each year of your projection:
The result is a conversion strategy that maximizes the benefit of Roth conversions while explicitly avoiding the years and amounts where the IRMAA cost would be a net negative. You can see the trade-off clearly in the year-by-year projection: each year shows the tax saved by the conversion, the IRMAA cost (if any), and the net benefit.
IRMAA stands for Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount. It is a surcharge on Medicare Part B and Part D premiums that applies when your MAGI exceeds certain thresholds. IRMAA can add hundreds or thousands of dollars per year to your Medicare costs.
IRMAA is based on your MAGI from two years ago. Medicare looks at your tax return from two years prior and applies surcharge brackets. For 2024, thresholds start at $103,000 for single filers and $206,000 for married filing jointly.
Medicare uses your tax return from two years prior to determine your IRMAA tier. Your 2024 premiums are based on your 2022 tax return. A large Roth conversion in 2024 will increase your Medicare premiums in 2026.
Keep your MAGI below the first threshold ($103,000 single / $206,000 married). Strategies include using Roth withdrawals, spreading Roth conversions across years, timing capital gains carefully, maximizing deductions, and filing Form SSA-44 for qualifying life events like retirement.
Yes. Roth conversions increase MAGI and can push you into higher IRMAA tiers. A $100,000 conversion pushing a married couple from $190,000 to $290,000 MAGI could add over $3,000 per year in Medicare surcharges, applied two years later via the lookback.
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